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Gegevens van 11 nov 2026, 18:32 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Middenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
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Opgeslagen prijs
Before Jan 1, 2028 56.5%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Before Jan 1, 2028 56.5%Marktkwaliteit
35 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Open interest
US$ 1,3K
Lage open interestBied / Laat
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 46 minuten geleden
Vertraagd17 sep 26, 00:00 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Marktdiepte · Before Jan 1, 2028
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the US implement AI incident reporting requirements by 2028?
Manifold MarketsIf an AI incident kills 100+ before 2030, will the US enact binding pre-deployment evals within 18 months?
Manifold MarketsIf the US does not enact binding pre-deployment evals before 2030, will an AI incident kill 1,000+ by 2036?
Manifold MarketsIf ≥8 orgs are within 10x of frontier compute in 2030, will an AI incident kill 1,000+ people by 2036?
Manifold MarketsWill the SAVE Act become law?
KalshiHow many reconciliation bills will become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?
KalshiRegels
If federal legislation requiring serious AI-incident reporting has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A qualifying federal law must require external reporting of serious incidents or dangerous near misses involving AI models or systems. This includes events causing or threatening serious physical, economic, environmental, privacy, or security harm, as well as significant loss of control or compromise of model security. The law's reporting trigger or definitions must identify serious, critical, material, significant, or catastrophic incidents, or set a harm or risk threshold excluding routine low-impact events. A broader reporting duty qualifies if it includes such a defined category. Confidential reports to an authority or designated external recipient and public disclosure both qualify. Internal reporting alone, voluntary programs, routine errors, and capability or risk assessments without an incident or dangerous near miss do not qualify. A general cybersecurity reporting law without an AI-specific reporting duty does not qualify. A later effective date does not delay qualification. An example of this is the FRONTIER Act (H.R. 9925).
Regels per uitkomst
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If federal legislation requiring serious AI-incident reporting has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If federal legislation requiring serious AI-incident reporting has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If federal legislation requiring serious AI-incident reporting has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.