Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Zcash Orchard pool vulnerability proven not exploited by Dec 31, 2026??

Gemini prijst Proof of non-exploitation published op 6.5% per 19 oktober 2026.

Zcash Orchard pool vulnerability proven not exploited by Dec 31, 2026?

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Gegevens van 19 okt 2026, 11:45 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4

Huidige impliciete kans

Proof of non-exploitation published 6.5%

Marktkwaliteit

29 / 100

Lage kwaliteit

24u volume

—

Liquiditeit

—

Liquiditeit onbekend

Bied / Laat

4.0% / 9.0%

Spread

5.0 pt

Gematigde spread

Handelaren

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden

9 jun 26, 00:29 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC

Uitkomst24uKans

Proof of non-exploitation published

6.5%

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Will the June 2026 Zcash Orchard pool vulnerability be proven to have not been exploited by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to YES if, on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a Mathematical Proof is published and accepted by the Source Agency demonstrating that the June 2026 Zcash Orchard shielded-pool soundness vulnerability (the under-constrained element in the Orchard Action circuit in the halo2_gadgets crate, present since Orchard activation in May 2022, disclosed by the Zcash Open Development Lab and Shielded Labs, and remediated via the emergency network upgrade activated June 1-3, 2026) was NOT exploited in a production environment prior to the deployment of the official remediation.
"Mathematical Proof" means a cryptographically valid, formally verified, or peer-reviewed publication that demonstrates with mathematical or cryptographic certainty that the vulnerability was or was not exploited prior to remediation (e.g., formal circuit verification, exploit reconstruction, chain-state proof, supply-audit/turnstile-accounting mechanism, or an equivalent technique) and that is accepted by the Source Agency.
This market resolves to NO if, on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a Mathematical Proof is published and accepted by the Source Agency demonstrating that the vulnerability WAS exploited, OR if no qualifying Mathematical Proof (of either exploitation or non-exploitation) is published and accepted by the Source Agency on or before that date.
(For clarity: a NO resolution covers two distinct situations -- (i) a proof that the vulnerability WAS exploited, and (ii) the absence of any accepted Mathematical Proof either way by the deadline.
A NO share should not be read as a bet that exploitation occurred.)