GeminiBeperkt geverifieerde gegevensHuidige impliciete kans
JD Vance 18.5%Koploper van 11 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
48 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 103,5
Liquiditeit
€ 0
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
18.0% / 19.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden
19 feb 26, 18:2810 nov 28, 0:00
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
JD Vance19%
Platforms vergelijken· JD Vance
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste algemeen80% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Hoog | 18% | -2pt | € 375,5K | € 34,5 mln. | 15 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Polymarket85% overeenkomst · auto | Gemiddeld | 20% | 0pt | € 371,8K | € 44 mln. | 15 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| GeminiDeze pagina | Laag | 19% | -1pt | € 103,5 | € 0 | 15 minuten geleden | |
 Futuur85% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Laag | 28% | +8pt | € 0 | € 16K | 15 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Myriad83% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Laag | 42% | +22pt | € 0 | € 0 | 15 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Smarkets85% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Laag | 18% | -2pt | € 233,3 | € 0 | 15 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Limitless91% overeenkomst · auto | Laag | 50% | +30pt | € 0 | € 0 | 15 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Manifold Markets85% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | — | 18% | -2pt | — | — | 15 minuten geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Limitless
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2j
50%
50%
50%
+4 extra uitkomsten
22 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 14,6K
24u volume€ 0
LIMITLESSOok beschikbaar op Polymarket
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2j
20%
-0.2pt12%
12%
+125 extra uitkomsten
74 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitStrakke spreadHoge liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 588,9 mln.
24u volume€ 371,8K
POLYMARKETOok beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
2j
-0.3pt17.5%
16.5%
+0.2pt15.2%
+42 extra uitkomsten
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling1.008 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSOok beschikbaar op Smarkets
2028 Presidential Election Winner
17.5%
10.9%
10%
+37 extra uitkomsten
27 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 284,7K
24u volume€ 233,3
SMARKETSOok beschikbaar op Futuur
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
3mnd
28%
28%
26%
+2 extra uitkomsten
42 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 0
24u volume€ 0
FUTUUROok beschikbaar op Myriad
US Presidential Election Winner 2028
5.7 pts2j
-0.1pt41.6%
-0.1pt19.8%
+0.2pt10.8%
+28 extra uitkomsten
30 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 0
24u volume€ 0
MYRIADOok beschikbaar op Kalshi
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
0.5 pts3j
17%
17%
11.3%
+27 extra uitkomsten
89 • Hoge kwaliteitStrakke spreadHoge liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 48 mln.
24u volume€ 375,5K
KALSHIRegels
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
- The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().
- Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance.
- If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated.
- If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Grote trades
$1.3k83.0%KALSHIMarco Rubio — Noeergisteren
KALSHIMarco Rubio — Noeergisteren$1.7k99.1%KALSHITucker Carlson — No3 dgn geleden
KALSHITucker Carlson — No3 dgn geleden$3.3k99.1%KALSHITucker Carlson — No3 dgn geleden
KALSHITucker Carlson — No3 dgn geleden$1.4k13.9%POLYMARKETWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — YesBigRabbit3 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — YesBigRabbit3 dgn geleden$3.7k19.9%POLYMARKETWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Yespizzabillgates3 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Yespizzabillgates3 dgn geleden$1.8k98.5%POLYMARKETWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — NoGummy-Brisket3 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — NoGummy-Brisket3 dgn geleden$1.1k97.3%KALSHIAndy Beshear — No5 dgn geleden
KALSHIAndy Beshear — No5 dgn geleden$2.5k97.5%KALSHIAndy Beshear — No5 dgn geleden
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Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
- The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().
- Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance.
- If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated.
- If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.