FutuurBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 96%
Nee 96%Marktkwaliteit
31 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 245,2
Lage liquiditeitHandelaren
3
Reacties
1
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Xi Jinping leave the office of General Secretary of the CCP by which date?
FutuurWill Xi Jinping leave China from 2026 to 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping leave China in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich leaders will leave office in 2026?
KalshiWill Pete Hegseth leave office in 2026?
PredictItWill Kash Patel leave office by November 4, 2026?
PredictItRegels
This market concerns whether Xi Jinping will leave office at any time during the calendar year 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) for resolution is an official announcement by the Xinhua News Agency confirming that Xi Jinping no longer holds any of the following roles: General Secretary of the Communist Party of China (CPC), President of the People’s Republic of China, or Chairman of the Central Military Commission.
- The Market Period is from 2026-01-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-12-31 23:59:59 UTC inclusive.
- If the PDS confirms that during this period he ceases to hold any of these roles (due to resignation, removal, death, incapacity with a successor appointed, or other official transfer of power), this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately (first-truth resolution).
- If by the end of the Market Period the PDS indicates he still holds all three roles and no effective cessation occurred within the period, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary acting arrangements, medical leaves, delegations of authority, or announcements of future resignation effective after 2026 do not count.
