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Will Bibi Netanyahu be convicted or admit wrongdoing in any of his trials?
Manifold MarketsNetanyahu convicted in corruption trial?
Polymarketwill Binyamin Netanyahu be convicted in his current trial?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketWill Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWorld Conflict Prop Bets 2025-2027 [High Liquidity]
Manifold MarketsRegels
This event predicts whether Israel’s sitting prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, will be convicted by an Israeli court at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official judgment/verdict issued by the competent Israeli court(s) in Netanyahu’s ongoing criminal proceedings, as reflected in official court records or official court communications.
- If an Israeli court issues a conviction against Benjamin Netanyahu in these criminal proceedings within this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- A conviction will count for "Yes" even if it is appealed, stayed, or later overturned.
- If official court documentation is not publicly accessible or is exceptionally unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from multiple major, editorially independent news organizations.
