What will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Aug. 12?
49.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffUS Politics
PredictItChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione non verificatiRetail prediction exchange
Questo mercato si è risolto: 39.1% to 39.3% (99%)
Dati di risoluzione non verificati
Questo esito è inferito o non supportato da prove di regolamento di livello provider.
Probabilità implicita attuale
39.1% to 39.3% 99%+49.0ptIn testa tra 9 esiti
Metodologia
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo di domanda
-
Volume 24h
162,6 €
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 giorni fa
Obsoleto5 ago 26, 17:1112 ago 26, 15:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
39.1% to 39.3%50%
38.8% to 39.0%0%
39.4% to 39.6%2%
37.8% or lower1%
37.9% to 39.1%1%
38.2% to 38.4%1%
38.5% to 38.7%1%
39.7% to 39.9%2%
40.0% or higher2%
99%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Regole
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify President Trump's average RealClearPolitics job approval rating at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the table of individual polls, available upon launch of this market at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating ("the Settlement Source"), as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
- Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the average job approval of President Trump (currently labelled "Approve" in the row labelled "RCP Average") will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 08/12/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
