Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
0.4 pt (24h)
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: 20+
Dati di risoluzione non verificati
Questo esito è inferito o non supportato da prove di regolamento di livello provider.
Probabilità implicita attuale
20+ 100%+23.1ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
127K €
Liquidità
569,5K €
Alta liquiditàVariazione 7g
-84.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 112 giorni fa
Obsoleto24 mar 26, 17:0830 apr 26, 0:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
20+82%
80+1%
60+1%
40+0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and April 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.