Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì 87%
Qualita del mercato
79 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
3,4K €
Liquidità
19,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
86.0% / 88.0%
Spread
2.3%
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
8 lug 26, 1:5230 giu 27, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes87%
Trend del volume
$3.8k8 lug2g di dati9 lug
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A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.