Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Yes
Risolto: 13 dic 2023, 17:31
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì 100%
Qualita del mercato
15 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 122 giorni fa
Obsoleto6 dic 23, 16:1313 dic 23, 0:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than or equal to 38.0% for the day of December 12, 2023.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- This market will resolve according to the datapoint for December 12 as soon as a datapoint for December 13 becomes available.
- This market may not resolve until the December 13 datapoint is available.