Will August 2021 average global temperature be the highest August temperature on record?
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No
Prove di risoluzione limitate
CoinRithm può mostrare l'esito registrato, ma non tutti i campi di regolamento sono verificati dal provider.
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 100%
Qualita del mercato
15 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 147 giorni fa
Obsoleto20 ago 21, 0:001 set 21, 0:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regole
This is a market on whether the average global land and ocean surface temperature for August 2021 will be the highest August temperature since global records began in 1880. The resolution source for this market will be the Global Climate Report for August 2021, published by NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2021).
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for the month of August 2021 averaged as a whole, global land and ocean surface temperature anomaly, as measured by U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, will be greater than 0.98°C (1.76°F) above the 20th century average of 15.6°C (60.1°F), and “No” otherwise. Past data for the month of August can be found here https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/global/time-series/globe/land_ocean/1/8/1880-2021. This market will resolve when data is first available for the month of August 2021. In the event of an ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).