Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by October 31?
Weather
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Yes
Prove di risoluzione limitate
CoinRithm può mostrare l'esito registrato, ma non tutti i campi di regolamento sono verificati dal provider.
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì 100%
Qualita del mercato
15 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 122 giorni fa
Obsoleto20 set 22, 0:0031 ott 22, 0:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between September 20, 2022 (12:00 PM ET), and October 31, 2022 (11:59:59 PM ET), as listed on the National Hurricane Center website (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/).
- If no tropical systems with hurricane status make landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market may only resolve to "No" after October 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
- For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL
- This market will resolve based on an initial announcement released by NOAA that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
