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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?
US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?

US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?

0.3% (24h)Health & MedicineQuarterlyBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 36%
Qualita del mercato

24 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

183 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

1.4% / 71.5%

Spread

5007.1%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

+30.4%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 minuti fa

27 apr 26, 20:5831 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes36%

Regole

The CDC estimates a general fertility rate of 53.3 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44 for Q4 2025 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/natality-dashboard.htm).

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the initial reported rate for Q1 2026 exceeds 53.3, according to the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If the CDC does not release general fertility rate data for Q1 2026 by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Resolution will be based on the first published estimate for Q1 2026, regardless of any subsequent revisions.
  • The resolution source will be the CDC’s Vital Statistics Rapid Release.

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Regole

The CDC estimates a general fertility rate of 53.3 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44 for Q4 2025 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/natality-dashboard.htm).

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the initial reported rate for Q1 2026 exceeds 53.3, according to the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If the CDC does not release general fertility rate data for Q1 2026 by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Resolution will be based on the first published estimate for Q1 2026, regardless of any subsequent revisions.
  • The resolution source will be the CDC’s Vital Statistics Rapid Release.