PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeDecember 31 37%+4.0%In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualita del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
47,8K €
Liquidità
110,4K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
5.2% / 5.9%
Spread
13.5%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
22 giu 26, 19:4031 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
December 3137%
Mercati Correlati
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MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Iranian regime be overthrown?
414,3 €Sì: 7.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2027?
219,5 €Sì: 8.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the imposition of a naval blockade on Iran, or on ships traveling to or from Iranian ports, or on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The announcement need not specify the full scope, duration, or enforcement parameters of the blockade.
- An announcement of a partial or targeted blockade qualifies, including one limited to specific vessel categories, port areas, or Iranian coastal zones, provided it clearly announces the interdiction of Iranian maritime traffic as an unconditional policy.
- A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present implementation of a blockade, previously-unannounced prior implementation of a blockade, or definitive decision to implement a blockade.
- A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify a blockade.