PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeSì 25%-0.0%
Qualita del mercato
89 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
203,3K €
Liquidità
122,4K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
24.0% / 25.0%
Spread
4.2%
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
13 giu 26, 21:4915 lug 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes25%
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? [Polymarket]
23g
24%
76%
Previsione della comunità45 previsoriTipo: binary
Volume totale6,1K €
Volume 24h1,4K €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 15, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 15, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.