Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
0.1 pt (24h)
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (100%)
Risolto: 2 giu 2026, 18:21
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
No
A 7 giorni
98%
A 24 ore
—
Probabilità implicita attualeNo 100%
Qualita del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
135,7K €
Liquidità
0 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Variazione 7g
-2.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 54 giorni fa
Obsoleto31 mar 26, 21:4531 mag 26, 0:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes0%
No100%
0%
100%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Confronta le piattaforme· No
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Bassa | 100% | — | 135,7K € | 0 € | 54 giorni fa | |
 Manifold Markets77% di corrispondenza · auto | — | 100% | — | — | — | 57 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? [Polymarket]
Chiusi
Risolto
No (99.7%)
99.7%
0.3%
Previsione della comunità318 previsoriTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.