Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffPoliticaElezioneMiddle East5h
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 100%
Qualità del mercato
65 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
16,4 €
Liquidità
7,6K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
0.1% / 0.3%
Spread
0.2 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
1
Variazione 7g
-10.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
19 ago 26, 12:09 UTC8 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
100%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsWill Ben-Gvir be a minister in the thirty-eighth government of Israel?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026.
- Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir both appear as candidates on the same party list submitted to the Central Elections Committee to contest the 2026 Knesset elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A list on which both individuals appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions either individual occupies on the list.
- If either individual does not appear on any party list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.