PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 87%-0.5pt
Qualità del mercato
42 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
239,2 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
10.0% / 16.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-2.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
12 feb 26, 22:30 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the republican party win the 2026 texas gubernatorial election?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 87% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026??
- Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.