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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione
PolymarketPolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione

Questo mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.

Probabilità implicita attuale
Gallrein 9%+
Gallrein 9%+ 99%-0.1%
In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualita del mercato

56 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

30,3 €

Liquidità

36,6K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

0.1% / 0.2%

Spread

100.0%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

+0.1%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 minuti fa

18 mag 26, 15:1819 mag 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Gallrein 9%+
Gallrein 9%+
-0.1%
99%
Gallrein 6-9%
Gallrein 6-9%
+0.1%
1%
Massie 6%+
Massie 6%+
0%
Gallrein 3-6%
Gallrein 3-6%
0%
Massie 3-6%
Massie 3-6%
0%
Gallrein <3%
Gallrein <3%
0%

Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.

KalshiDisponibile anche su Kalshi

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?

Chiusi

Risolto

Ed Gallrein, 5-10% (95%)

Ed Gallrein, 10-15%
Ed Gallrein, 10-15%
1%
Ed Gallrein, 0-5%
Ed Gallrein, 0-5%
0%
Ed Gallrein, ≥20%
Ed Gallrein, ≥20%
0%

+7 altri esiti

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità media
Volume totale41,2K €
Volume 24h63,8 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regole

The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
  • For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
  • If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

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Regole

The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
  • For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
  • If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.