PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Sì 91.1%
Qualità del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
165,9 €
Liquidità
10,1K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
90.0% / 93.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
3
Variazione 7g
-0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
29 apr 26, 23:51 UTC27 ott 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
PolymarketWill the Likud win the next Israeli election
Manifold MarketsLikud seats after October 2026 Israeli elections
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by which date?
PolymarketWill Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercati aperti
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- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Israel election: will Likud lose seats??
- Polymarket quota Yes al 91% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Israel election: will Likud lose seats??
- Israel election: will Likud lose seats? dovrebbe risolversi il 27 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Israel election: will Likud lose seats??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.