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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

14.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticaElezioneMiddle East4m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 83%+0.1%
Qualita del mercato

60 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

22,7 €

Liquidità

7,4K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

81.0% / 85.0%

Spread

4.9%

Spread moderato
Variazione 7g

+7.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

29 apr 26, 23:5427 ott 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes83%

Regole

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
  • If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
  • If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Mercati Correlati

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Manifold Markets

Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election?

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Will Israel hold an election in 2027?

90,9 €
Sì: 45.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

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14,6 €
Naftali Bennett: 30%KalshiKALSHI
What will be the results of Israel's next election?

What will be the results of Israel's next election?

9,5 €
> 20 new MKs (who never been in the Knesset before): 91.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

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Likud: 55%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,928.12+2.36%EthereumETH$1,659.82+1.76%SolanaSOL$65.29+1.60%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.50%XRPXRP$1.12+0.50%BNBBNB$597.07+1.89%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
  • If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
  • If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".