Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

2.0% (24h)5g

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Qualita del mercato 63 • Qualita mediaMercato poco profondo

Avvisi

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Supporto decisionale

Probabilità implicita attuale

Tisza <9% 37%

Qualita del mercato

63 / 100

Qualita media

Bid / Ask

36.0% / 38.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 24 minuti fa

Ultimo aggiornamento: 6 apr, 0:06

Risoluzione

12 apr 2026, 00:00

Volume 24h

636 €

Liquidità

65.200,2 €

Spread

5.6%

Spread moderato

Variazione 7g

Liquidita mediaMercato poco profondoAlta ambiguita

Inizio 31 mar 2026, 20:04Fine 12 apr 2026, 00:00

Trend

Nessun dato del grafico disponibile.

Esito24hProbabilità

Tisza <9%

-2.0%37%

Other

-21%

Tisza 9-12%

+1.0%13%

Tisza 15-18%

+0.5%12%

Tisza 18%+

+0.5%11%

Tisza 12-15%

-10%

Regole

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

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Politics

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