Probabilità implicita attuale
Sagal Abdi-Wali 63.9%-5.0ptIn testa tra 23 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
78 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
4,2K €
Liquidità
174,8K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
5
Variazione 7g
+5.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
1 set 26, 16:14 UTC1 lug 27, 03:59 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Manifold MarketsHolborn and St Pancras By-Election - Labour to Win
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PolymarketRegole
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
- If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner?
- Polymarket quota Sagal Abdi-Wali al 64% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner?
- Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner dovrebbe risolversi il 1 luglio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
- Dove altro è quotato Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi, Smarkets.