PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
70-71°F 32.4%+2.5ptIn testa tra 11 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
3,2K €
Liquidità
24,7K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
13 set 26, 16:58 UTC15 set 26, 12:00 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 16?
PolymarketLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 15?
PolymarketHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 14, 2026?
GeminiLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 16?
PolymarketHighest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 14, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 14, 2026?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- Miami+37.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+10.0pt43%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 215,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 204,5K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- 79° to 80°+26.0pt60%
- 81° to 82°-14.0pt22.7%
- 83° or above-6.0pt9.1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 14, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+77.0pt78.2%
- 90° to 91°-32.0pt17.3%
- 92° to 93°-34.0pt1.8%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
- 74° to 75°+37.0pt80%
- 76° to 77°+2.0pt16.2%
- 73° or below-39.0pt0.9%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- 14–16-1.0pt49.5%
- 17–19-0.5pt29.3%
- 11–1315.2%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 14, 2026?
- 72° to 73°+43.0pt61.6%
- 74° to 75°-20.0pt19.2%
- 71° or below+12.0pt14.1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Where will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Manila on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Singapore on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 15?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 15??
- Polymarket quota 70-71°F al 32% al 14 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 15??
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 15? dovrebbe risolversi il 15 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 15??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
- Dove altro è quotato Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 15??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi, Gemini.