Probabilità implicita attuale
15%+ 85.4%+5.0ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato
50 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
137,1 €
Liquidità
43,6K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
83.0% / 92.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
+24.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
4 lug 26, 0:5730 lug 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
15%+88%
Trend del volume
$1564 lug25g di dati28 lug
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The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the final round of the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election.
- The final round will be the first round if a candidate wins outright, or the runoff if no candidate wins outright.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.