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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

3.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticaLatin America6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 24%+0.0%
Qualita del mercato

80 / 100

Alta qualità
Volume 24h

733,8 €

Liquidità

26,8K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

23.0% / 24.0%

Spread

4.3%

Spread moderato
Variazione 7g

+3.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

11 mar 26, 0:0031 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes24%

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC) ceases to exercise de facto governing control over Cuba by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A “Yes” resolution requires a clear and widely reported break from the PCC’s historical control over the government of Cuba.
  • This may include events such as the overthrow or dissolution of the PCC and its replacement by a new government or transitional authority, the constitutional removal of the PCC’s status as the sole ruling party followed by a transfer of governing power to a different political entity, or the holding of multi-party national elections that result in a government not controlled by the PCC.
  • A “Yes” resolution does not require the formal dissolution of the PCC, provided the PCC no longer exercises de facto governing control over Cuba.
  • Leadership changes within the PCC, including replacement of the First Secretary, or governmental reforms that preserve the PCC’s de facto governing control over Cuba, will not suffice.

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Notizie Correlate

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Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC) ceases to exercise de facto governing control over Cuba by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A “Yes” resolution requires a clear and widely reported break from the PCC’s historical control over the government of Cuba.
  • This may include events such as the overthrow or dissolution of the PCC and its replacement by a new government or transitional authority, the constitutional removal of the PCC’s status as the sole ruling party followed by a transfer of governing power to a different political entity, or the holding of multi-party national elections that result in a government not controlled by the PCC.
  • A “Yes” resolution does not require the formal dissolution of the PCC, provided the PCC no longer exercises de facto governing control over Cuba.
  • Leadership changes within the PCC, including replacement of the First Secretary, or governmental reforms that preserve the PCC’s de facto governing control over Cuba, will not suffice.