Probabilità implicita attuale
No 95%+0.0pt
Qualita del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
74,9 €
Liquidità
1,7K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
2.0% / 7.2%
Spread
5.2 pt
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
-0.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
2 apr 26, 19:5431 dic 26, 17:00
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes5%
Confronta le piattaforme· No
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Bassa | 95% | +90pt | 74,9 € | 1,7K € | 12 minuti fa | |
 Futuur88% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 96% | +91pt | 4,5 € | 577,7 € | 32 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Futuur
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?
5m
96%
4%
32 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale5,4 €
Volume 24h4,5 €
FUTUURRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a quantum-resistant protocol upgrade is activated on the Bitcoin mainnet.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- To qualify, the upgrade must satisfy all of the following: - The upgrade must constitute a consensus-layer change to the Bitcoin protocol that is live and enforced on the Bitcoin mainnet by the deadline.
- Proposals, drafts, code releases, miner signaling, node adoption, or activation on testnets or alternative networks do not qualify on their own. - The upgrade must enable the use of a post-quantum-secure signature scheme for standard Bitcoin transactions on the Bitcoin mainnet.
- The scheme must be intended to provide meaningful resistance against quantum attacks on transaction signing (e.g., attacks against ECDSA or successor schemes).
- Purely theoretical proposals, wallet-level changes, off-chain solutions, layer-2 systems, or other non-consensus-layer mitigations do not qualify. - The upgrade must make such quantum-resistant transaction types valid under Bitcoin consensus rules and generally available for use on the Bitcoin mainnet, even if their use is optional or not yet widely adopted.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$859 lug6g di dati27 lug
Cripto correlate
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a quantum-resistant protocol upgrade is activated on the Bitcoin mainnet.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- To qualify, the upgrade must satisfy all of the following: - The upgrade must constitute a consensus-layer change to the Bitcoin protocol that is live and enforced on the Bitcoin mainnet by the deadline.
- Proposals, drafts, code releases, miner signaling, node adoption, or activation on testnets or alternative networks do not qualify on their own. - The upgrade must enable the use of a post-quantum-secure signature scheme for standard Bitcoin transactions on the Bitcoin mainnet.
- The scheme must be intended to provide meaningful resistance against quantum attacks on transaction signing (e.g., attacks against ECDSA or successor schemes).
- Purely theoretical proposals, wallet-level changes, off-chain solutions, layer-2 systems, or other non-consensus-layer mitigations do not qualify. - The upgrade must make such quantum-resistant transaction types valid under Bitcoin consensus rules and generally available for use on the Bitcoin mainnet, even if their use is optional or not yet widely adopted.