538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
Politica
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Republicans
Prove di risoluzione limitate
CoinRithm può mostrare l'esito registrato, ma non tutti i campi di regolamento sono verificati dal provider.
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Democrats0%
Republicans100%
RepublicansVinta
DemocratsPersa
Regole
If the FiveThirtyEight graph titled "Do voters want Republicans or Democrats in Congress?" shows Democrats at a greater percentage of support than Republicans for the date of November 8, 2022, at check time, this market will resolve to "Democrats".
- If the same graph shows Republicans at a greater percentage of support than Democrats for November 8, 2022, at the time of the check, this market will resolve to "Republicans".
- If the same graph shows Democrats and Republicans at an equal percentage of support for the resolution date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market is the FiveThirtyEight "Do voters want Republicans or Democrats in Congress?" graph, with the "POLL TYPE" option set to "Generic ballot" and the "CYCLE" option set to "2022".
- The graph is presently located at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/generic-ballot/.
- Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates this graph's figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
