538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on August 15?
Politica
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Democrats
Prove di risoluzione limitate
CoinRithm può mostrare l'esito registrato, ma non tutti i campi di regolamento sono verificati dal provider.
Probabilità implicita attuale
Democrats 100%
Qualita del mercato
15 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 123 giorni fa
Obsoleto2 ago 22, 0:0015 ago 22, 0:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Republicans0%
Democrats100%
100%
0%
Regole
If the FiveThirtyEight graph titled "Do voters want Republicans or Democrats in Congress?" shows Republicans at a greater percentage of support than Democrats for the date of August 15, 2022 at the time of the check, this market will resolve to "Republicans".
- If the same graph shows Democrats at a greater percentage of support than Republicans for August 15, 2022 at the time of the check, this market will resolve to "Democrats".
- If the same graph shows Republicans and Democrats at an equal percentage of support, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market is the FiveThirtyEight "Do voters want Republicans or Democrats in Congress?" graph, with the "POLL TYPE" option set to "Generic ballot" and the "CYCLE" option set to "2022".
- The graph is presently located at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/generic-ballot/.
- Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates this graph's figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
