Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Xi Jinping remain leader of China for the rest of his life??

Manifold Markets quota No al 74.7% al 29 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will Xi Jinping remain leader of China for the rest of his life??

Will Xi Jinping remain leader of China for the rest of his life? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2041.

CinaOne-Off14a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 74.7%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 ora fa

In ritardo

20 mag 23, 21:07 UTC1 gen 41, 07:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Resolves NO if, at any point during his life, Xi is no longer considered the most powerful leader in China.

Resolves YES if he dies at the top.
I will extend this market indefinitely as necessary.
This may be biased toward NO, since he's only 69 and YES holders might have to wait decades to get their payout.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.