Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.7%
Previsori
52
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
29 gen 24, 20:03 UTC1 mar 31, 22:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2037?
Manifold MarketsWill we get a cure for cancer before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we get a cure for cancer before 2038?
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KalshiFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves as YES if 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- In order for this question to resolve as YES, there has to be credible evidence in each qualifying country that this threshold has been reached.
- This evidence (e.g. clinical studies) must take into consideration patients diagnosed with cancer at least 18 months prior to January 1st 2031.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-bf2acb801224
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-e2cd2abbbed6
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 20,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 8K €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
- 84,1K €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume totale
- 652,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,4K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 865,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 3K €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume totale
- 915,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will we get a cure for cancer before 2031??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 88% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will we get a cure for cancer before 2031??
- Will we get a cure for cancer before 2031? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 marzo 2031.
- Come viene liquidato Will we get a cure for cancer before 2031??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves as YES if 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.