Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 78.1%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 45 minuti fa
In ritardo4 mag 26, 20:35 UTC31 mag 29, 23:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will OMIE Spain 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed €65/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill WA SWIS 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$150/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill Nord Pool 2028 system price annual average exceed €45/MWh?
Manifold MarketsChicken wing · Average US wholesale price in October
KalshiWill the annual average strength of the AMOC fall below 8 Sverdrups for any calendar year through 2030?
ForecastExRegole
Resolves YES if the Australian National Electricity Market (NEM) Victoria region time-weighted annual average wholesale spot price for calendar year 2028 exceeds A$115/MWh, as reported by AEMO in its Quarterly Energy Dynamics Q4 2028 release and the 2028 calendar-year summary on the AEMO data dashboard.
- Resolution evaluated once on the settlement date against the published figure.
- Settlement: 31 May 2029 — about five months after year-end, allowing AEMO time to publish confirmed calendar-year averages.
- Created: 2026-05-04
- The forward drivers, project schedules, and strike calibration below reflect public information available on the creation date.
- Coal-plant retirement dates, transmission and storage commissioning, gas-supply contracts, capacity auctions, and policy interventions in electricity markets have moved repeatedly in both directions over the past several years and are likely to continue moving.
