Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will transit measure on the ballot pass??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 74.5% al 25 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will transit measure on the ballot pass??

Will transit measure on the ballot pass? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://manifold.markets/EmilAbraham/will-we-see-the-transit-funding-ini

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati

Dati al 25 ott 2026, 21:52 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4

Previsione della comunità attuale

Sì 74.5%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 2 ore fa

Obsoleto

24 gen 26, 05:06 UTC1 gen 27, 00:00 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

https://manifold.markets/EmilAbraham/will-we-see-the-transit-funding-ini

Resolution Criteria
The measure will resolve YES if approved by voters at the November 2026 ballot.
Since the measure is being pursued as a citizen's initiative, it requires only a simple majority (50% plus one) to pass, rather than the two-thirds threshold typically required for tax measures placed by government entities.
The measure must first qualify for the ballot.
A signature gathering campaign will run through May 2026, requiring over 186,000 signatures (5% of the over 3.7 million residents of all five counties) to qualify for the November 3, 2026 General Election.