Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 95.8%
Previsori
52
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto9 nov 24, 10:07 UTC17 nov 28, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Tim Walz be the Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate for the Democrats in 2028?
Manifold MarketsTim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
KalshiWill Tim Walz resign by which date?
PolymarketWill Tim Walz Finish his term as Governor of Minnesota?
Manifold MarketsTim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
LimitlessWill AOC run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution criteria clarification:
- Market resolves YES if Tim Walz makes a credible declaration to run for President in 2028
- He only needs to show measurable signs of being serious about running
- He does NOT need to win the Democratic nomination
- Update 2026-02-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Formal announcement + credible attempt at raising funds would very likely be sufficient for YES resolution.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Tim Walz run for President in 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Tim Walz run for President in 2028??
- Will Tim Walz run for President in 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 17 novembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will Tim Walz run for President in 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution criteria clarification: