Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 53.3%
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 56 minuti fa
In ritardo10 mar 24, 18:16 UTC1 gen 33, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
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FutuurRegole
From @NevinWetherill
- I think a good rule-of-thumb for existing-patient cures would be "a treatment such that those who undergo the treatment at any point after being diagnosed with type 1 do not have a life noticably inconvenienced by any effects of their condition after the treatment."
- Insulin pumps will not count
Mercati aperti
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
- ↑2k+0.2pt100%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 28,1K €
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volume totale
- 15,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 21,5K €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.5pt93.1%
- Yes+0.5pt6.9%
- Volume totale
- 944,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2K €
KALSHIWhich countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- Kenya14%
- India6%
- Ethiopia-2.0pt5%
+13 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,4K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 600061%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 882,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7K €
KALSHIWill 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
- On Nov 13, 202696%
- On Mar 13, 202789%
- On Nov 19, 202786%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 16,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3K €
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
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- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
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- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be an FDA approved cure for Type 1 Diabetes by EOY 2032??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 53% al 15 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be an FDA approved cure for Type 1 Diabetes by EOY 2032??
- Will there be an FDA approved cure for Type 1 Diabetes by EOY 2032? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2033.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be an FDA approved cure for Type 1 Diabetes by EOY 2032??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: From @NevinWetherill