Will there be a Scottish independence referendum (indyref2) by 2030?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneEuropa3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 83.9%
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17
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binary
Metodologia
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Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto10 set 23, 16:26 UTC1 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
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KalshiScottish independence referendum called?
KalshiRegole
Scotland's independence referendum in 2014 was defeated by a vote 55% for remaining in the United Kingdom.
- Responding to the Brexit referendum in 2016, the Scottish National Party (SNP) began pursuing a second referendum, efforts towards which continue even to the time of writing this question.
- In 2022 the SNP was rebuffed by the Supreme Court which ruled that the Scottish government cannot hold a referendum on independence without the consent of the British government.
- Earlier in 2022, the SNP's previous leader, Nicola Sturgeon, said that the next Scottish election could be treated as a de facto referendum on independence.
- For the purposes of this question, only a formal referendum counts.
