Will there be a mass influx of people to Melilla on the 15th?
One-OffManifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (90.2%)
Risolto: 17 ago 2026, 08:54
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 90.2%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 giorni fa
Obsoleto7 ago 26, 20:4415 ago 26, 23:59
Trend
90.2%
9.8%
Regole
Target Date: August 15, 2026 (local time in Melilla, CET).
- Resolution Sources: Official statements from the Spanish Government Delegation in Melilla (Delegación del Gobierno en Melilla) or reports by reputable Spanish and international news outlets (e.g., RTVE, El País)
- This market will resolve to YES if on August 15, 2026 (including the overnight periods beginning August 14 or ending August 16), there is a coordinated border crossing attempt at the Melilla-Morocco border where:
- At least 1,000 people are reported to have attempted to cross the Melilla border fence or checkpoints, OR
- At least 200 people are reported to have successfully entered Melilla irregularly on that day.
- NO Resolution: If no such coordinated mass entry or attempt occurs on this date, or if the reported numbers fall below both thresholds, the market will resolve to NO.
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be a mass influx of people to Melilla on the 15th??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 90% al 16 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be a mass influx of people to Melilla on the 15th??
- Will there be a mass influx of people to Melilla on the 15th? dovrebbe risolversi il 15 agosto 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be a mass influx of people to Melilla on the 15th??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Target Date: August 15, 2026 (local time in Melilla, CET).