Will the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026?
WeatherOne-Off3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 98.3%
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Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
15 ago 23, 12:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
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Defined as effectively an ice-free arctic for any part of the year.
- Defined as <1MM Km^2 of sea ice in the arctic at any point (per Wikipedia definition)
- (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arctic_sea_ice_decline#Ice-free_summer)
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 98% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026??
- Will the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Defined as effectively an ice-free arctic for any part of the year.