Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be a 51st state in the USA before 2026??

Manifold Markets quota No al 99.2% al 24 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will there be a 51st state in the USA before 2026??

Will there be a 51st state in the USA before 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 99.2%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 2 ore fa

Obsoleto

17 feb 25, 17:12 UTC2 gen 27, 07:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

The United States currently has several territories and jurisdictions that could potentially become the 51st state.

The most likely candidates are:
Puerto Rico: A U.S. territory that has held multiple non-binding referendums on statehood, with the most recent in 2020 showing 52.3% support for statehood.
A binding referendum may occur in November 2023.
Washington, D.C.: The nation's capital has long sought statehood, with several bills passing the House but facing Senate opposition.
Resolution Criteria