Will the US violate the sovereignty of Canada before January 20th 2029?
Politica USAOne-OffGeopolitica2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 63.9%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto7 mar 25, 15:56 UTC20 gen 29, 17:00 UTC
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Resolves to YES if by 2029 an entity under the command of the United States government intentionally violates the sovereign territory of Canada, no matter how severe the incursion - from an infringement of Canadian airspace, to a border skirmish, to a full scale invasion.
- Resolves to NO otherwise.
- Inflammatory, but legal, stunts such as the Secretary of Homeland Security shouting "51st state" across the border in an international library building are not actual violations of sovereign territory.
- Accidental incursions or operations on Canadian soil with the agreement of Canada do not count - this will be determined by whether the federal government of Canada accepts it as such.
- Civilian entities do not count either unless claimed by Canada to be acting under the direction of the United States.
