Previsione della comunità attuale
No 87.7%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto29 giu 26, 18:40 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Initiative #25-0024A1 (2026 Billionaire Tax Act) pass in California in 2026?
ForecastExWill the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill H.R.4486 - Microplastics Safety Act pass before EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI Kill Switch Act pass the US House of Representatives before Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the BRIGHT Act pass in the Massachusetts 194th General Court?
Manifold MarketsWill there be another covid-like pandemic during second Trump administration?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the "Stop Climate Shakedowns Act" (specifically S. 4340 or H.R. 8330 of the 119th Congress, or any substantially identical federal legislation passed under the same name) is enacted into law on or before December 31, 2026.
- To qualify as enacted, the bill must either be signed into law by the President or passed via a congressional override of a presidential veto, with the official status updated to "Became Public Law No: X" on Congress.gov by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026.
- If the bill has not been officially enacted into law by the end of 2026, the market resolves to NO.
- The Stop Climate Shakedowns Act was introduced in April 2026 by Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) in the Senate and Representative Harriet Hageman (R-WY) in the House.
- The legislation is designed to grant sweeping legal immunity to fossil fuel companies by prohibiting state and federal courts from hearing climate-related liability lawsuits.
