Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair??

Manifold Markets quota No al 66% al 20 ottobre 2026.

Come viene liquidato Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria:

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 66%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 45 minuti fa

In ritardo

18 apr 25, 20:06 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next presidential election in El Salvador is deemed both free and fair by a majority of reputable international election monitoring organizations, such as the Organization of American States (OAS) and the European Union (EU).
Conversely, it will resolve to "No" if these organizations report significant irregularities or violations that compromise the election's freedom and fairness.
The next presidential election is scheduled for 2029, although this contract will resolve for the next presidential election after the 2024 election, regardless of when it is held.
El Salvador held its most recent presidential election on February 4, 2024.
Incumbent President Nayib Bukele secured re-election with approximately 84.6% of the vote.