Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 88.8%
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8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto5 mag 25, 02:31 UTC31 dic 49, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the domino-toppling world record be broken before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the hurricane wind speed record be broken before 2028?
Manifold MarketsSingle Season Sack Record Broken
KalshiSingle Season Rushing Yards Record Broken
KalshiSingle Season Receiving Yards Record Broken
KalshiIn what year will a bipedal robot break the human mile world record time?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves yes if the record is affirmed by World Athletics.
- If World Athletics goes defunct I will consider whatever the closest equivalent is.
- Update 2025-09-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The time must be faster than the current world record (as of now).
- If the current WR is later vacated and a slower time becomes the WR, breaking that later WR without beating the current record does not count.
Mercati aperti
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 586,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 568,4K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 428,7K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+55.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-47.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-9.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+47.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-34.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-6.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes86%
- No14%
- Volume totale
- 108,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 108,2K €
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the men's 100m world record be broken before 2050??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 89% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the men's 100m world record be broken before 2050??
- Will the men's 100m world record be broken before 2050? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2049.
- Come viene liquidato Will the men's 100m world record be broken before 2050??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes if the record is affirmed by World Athletics.