Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 94.3%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo4 ott 22, 22:49 UTC31 dic 26, 16:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill any of NASA's Canoo Crew Transportation Vehicles (CTVs) fail during operation or no longer be utilised by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve if any of the following are true:
- - If this market reaches its close date
- - If `8G8D07CxdVzqkPLBcY3L` closes (Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2026?).
- It will resolve based on the following decision tree:
- - If the human operator agrees:
- --- Resolves to round(MKT).
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt89.9%
- OpenAI-1.6pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 131,5K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No60.4%
- Yes39.6%
- Volume totale
- 103,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 27,9K €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-1.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+2.0pt18.6%
- Google-1.4pt5.9%
+18 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-8.0pt82%
- Above 9-49.0pt22%
- Above 10-20.0pt14%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,47%
- June 30,41%
- February 28,27%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 996,1K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.3pt59.6%
- SpaceX+0.5pt38.4%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 altri esiti
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 94% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027??
- Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve if any of the following are true: