Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 55%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto3 apr 23, 04:53 UTC3 feb 27, 00:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the first Reuters article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Manifold MarketsWill the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Manifold MarketsWill NYT write an article about a scandal at CEA before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAtpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
Robinhood (Rothera)BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
PolymarketRegole
Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.
- To count, the article must be substantially about Manifold Markets as a place for prediction markets.
- As in other contexts, I'll use "33% of the length is actually about Manifold" as a rough threshold, but I reserve the right to adjust if I decide that rule is inappropriate on a case-by-case basis.
- I'll not be betting in this market, of course.
Mercati aperti
ExchangeROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
- AMIC+38.0pt78.4%
- FTIA-37.0pt21.6%
- Volume totale
- 4,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 Mln €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- CALC76.7%
- BSHE+1.0pt23.3%
- Volume totale
- 459,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 459,8K €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Quarter Finals match
- Jessica Pegula76.7%
- Emma Navarro23.3%
- Volume totale
- 123,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 384,9K €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.6pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,250 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,500 or above97%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 161,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 158,1K €
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Mandcgau
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Qzheeryb
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What chain will LAPTOP launch on?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 55% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets??
- Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 febbraio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.