Previsione della comunità attuale
Opportunity Party polls at 5.00% or more in 3 or more polls? 100%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-5.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
29 gen 26, 02:06 UTC25 nov 26, 02:06 UTC
Trend
100%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Te Pati Maori win 3 or more electorates in next NZ election?
Manifold MarketsTe Pati Maori win 3 or more electorates in next NZ election?
Manifold MarketsWill Opportunity party get 9.000% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ general election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
PolymarketNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketRegole
resolves yes if TPM or Opportunity polls at 5.00% or more in 3 different polls (at least 2 different polling companies) in the 2026 Nov 7 NZ election.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_New_Zealand_general_election#Table_of_polls
- Polls accepted:
- RNZ-Reid Research
- taxpayer union-curia
- the post/freshwater strategy
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Te Pati Maori or Opportunity Party poll at 5.00% or more for the 2026 NZ election??
- Manifold Markets quota Opportunity Party polls at 5.00% or more in 3 or more polls? al 100% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Te Pati Maori or Opportunity Party poll at 5.00% or more for the 2026 NZ election??
- Will Te Pati Maori or Opportunity Party poll at 5.00% or more for the 2026 NZ election? dovrebbe risolversi il 25 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Te Pati Maori or Opportunity Party poll at 5.00% or more for the 2026 NZ election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: resolves yes if TPM or Opportunity polls at 5.00% or more in 3 different polls (at least 2 different polling companies) in the 2026 Nov 7 NZ election.