Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will San Francisco have a public bank issue at least one loan before January 1, 2028??

Manifold Markets quota No al 83.6% al 22 ottobre 2026.

Will San Francisco have a public bank issue at least one loan before January 1, 2028?

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 83.6%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 ore fa

Obsoleto

23 feb 23, 00:11 UTC1 gen 28, 23:59 UTC

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Esito24hProbabilità

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People in San Francisco are working on launching a public bank: https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/san-francisco-public-bank-17781925.php

Let's estimate the probability that this bank will actually get off the ground.
Will the bank issue one loan before January 1, 2028?
Feb 22, 7:25pm: Will San Francisco have a public bank accept deposits before January 1, 2028? → Will San Francisco have a public bank issue at least one loan before January 1, 2028?
(Question and description changed because the bank will not initially be able to accept deposits.)