Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.7%
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo8 apr 24, 13:55 UTC8 ago 52, 21:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will China have its first female General Secretary before Russia has its first female President?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a female president of the US by the year 2040?
Manifold MarketsNext female president in the US age
Manifold MarketsWill China have its first female General Secretary before the US has its first female President?
Manifold MarketsTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegole
This question resolves to whatever the president states to identify. [Meaning a trans woman would resolve to yes.]
- If Russia or the US splits up, this question will resolve according to the split with the biggest population.
- If the countries further don't have a president, I or a moderator are free to judge which position comes closest to it, and it will count as a matter for this question.
- The closing time might be extended.
- @/Lion/will-china-have-its-first-female-ge
- @/Lion/will-china-have-its-first-female-ge-95d95bebfc61
