Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 87.3%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto12 gen 24, 12:44 UTC1 gen 40, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How much of the United State's energy will be produced by fossil fuels in 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill more than 5% of UK electricity be supplied by fossil fuels in 2030?
Manifold Markets2x2: Will Labour get majority, will fossil fuels (without imports) compose >33% of UK energy gen next Parliament?
Manifold MarketsHow many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026?
KalshiWill renewable energy sources generate more than 4,700 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?
ForecastExWill renewable energy sources generate more than 4,900 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?
ForecastExRegole
I'm gonna be strict on "completely".
- My bar is going to be that no more oil is being drilled, and no more coal plants are in operation anywhere in the world.
- Internal combustion engines are fine as long as they're running on carbon-neutral fuel like biofuel.
- Nuclear will also count, since even though it technically isn't renewable, it definitely isn't a fossil fuel.
Mercati aperti
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 586,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 568,4K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 428,7K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+55.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-47.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-9.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+47.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-34.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-6.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes86%
- No14%
- Volume totale
- 108,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 108,2K €
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will renewable energy completely replace fossil fuels by 2040??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 87% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will renewable energy completely replace fossil fuels by 2040??
- Will renewable energy completely replace fossil fuels by 2040? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2040.
- Come viene liquidato Will renewable energy completely replace fossil fuels by 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I'm gonna be strict on "completely".