Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (99%)
Risolto: 13 ott 2026, 08:07
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
No
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
—
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 13 ott 2026, 18:38 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes7.7%
No92.3%
NoVinta
SìPersa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
B.I.G. (formerly known as "Project Big") is a sport climb in Flatanger, Norway, first climbed by Jakob Schubert in 2023 and given the grade 9c.
- By "confirmed" I mean two climbers complete the route and give it the grade 9c.
- If either climber gives it a grade different to 9c, market remains open (close date extending as necessary).
- If the grade ends up being really controversial I'll use my own judgment of the balance of opinion of relevant experts to decide if it is reasonable to say it has been "confirmed" 9c.
- (For example, if the second climber gives it 9b+ and the third climber gives it 9c, it's quite likely that I will consider that "confirmed 9c" but I'll try to find out what the consensus among climbers is.)
- If another climb is confirmed 9c first, or if a consensus is formed that B.I.G. is not 9c (either higher or lower) this market resolves NO.
