Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 82.8%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 23 ore fa
Obsoleto10 feb 26, 23:21 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which team will win the 2026 MLS Cup (all 30 teams in market) Polymarket and Kalshi in description
Manifold MarketsWill sports markets be banned from Polymarket or Kalshi by EOY at direction of the government?
Manifold MarketsDoes Barron have a Polymarket or Kalshi account?
Manifold MarketsCEOs of Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold to all mention Hayek in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Markets like "Resolves YES if this market closes at above 50%" or "Resolves NO if the market drops below 10%" or something would qualify.
- The current derivative market on the Jesus Christ market (https://polymarket.com/event/jesus-christ-return-before-2027-odds-5-monday-night-12-1-am) would NOT qualify, but only ever so slightly.
- I will not bet on this market, so I can judge what constitutes whalebait objectively.