Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 92%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto23 gen 26, 20:43 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which dormant memes will make a comeback by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Roa Yuzuki make a comeback in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
KalshiWill the Roman Empire make a comeback until EOY 4000?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a year without polio before 2030?
KalshiHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
This market resolves YES if there are at least five confirmed cases of poliomyelitis (paralytic polio) in the United States during 2026.
- Cases must be confirmed by the CDC and reported through official surveillance channels.
- Paralytic polio is designated an immediately notifiable, urgent disease, which requires state and local health authorities to notify CDC within 24 hours of identification.
- Resolution will be determined by CDC case counts as reported on their official website or in CDC Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Reports (MMWR)
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 20,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 8K €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
- 84,1K €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume totale
- 652,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,4K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 865,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 3K €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume totale
- 915,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2K €
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- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026??
- Will Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves YES if there are at least five confirmed cases of poliomyelitis (paralytic polio) in the United States during 2026.